RCM Grains Morning Wire


4.26.12

Apr 26, 2012

DOUG, BERGMAN +1 312-870-1503

Agricultural Derivatives Specialist

dbergman@rcmassetmanagement.com

 

Market Commentary | US

4/26/2012, 8:00 CST

COMMODITIES | AGRICULTURE

RCM Grains Morning Wire

 

CN +3 ¾         SN -1 ¾            WN +3 ½          KWN +2 ½          MWN -4                     

     HIGHLIGHTS

  • Markets mixed overnight with beans bouncing back from early lows to make it back to near unchanged.
  • Export sales out this morning for wheat at 744 tmt (400-650 expected), corn 826.2 tmt (800-1,000), beans 1,409.2 (900-1,250), meal 232.8 tmt(150-300), and oil .7tmt (5-15).
  • Strong bean and wheat exports with everything else falling mostly in line with expectations.
  • Cash soybeans reportedly starting to move after yesterday’s move in the futures to near $15.
  • IGC cut its 2012/13 wheat output .7% to 676 mmt.

WEATHER

                         

  • Rains expected to start moving across the Midwest again starting tomorrow into Saturday and again on Monday.
  • There is a low frost risk Saturday night for MI, IN, and OH.

     OUTLOOK

  • Good bean sales should keep the market supported on pull-backs.  Some consolidation is expected as cash beans are likely to move near $15.  The trend remains higher.
  • Corn downside limited as basis remains very strong and movement sluggish.
  • Wheat trading near value levels.  With some talk of cool weather hurting the winter wheat, this is a good place to buy.

OPENING CALLS   

  • Corn 3-4 higher, beans mixed, and wheat 3-4 higher.

Call if you have any questions.  312-870-1503

 

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The opinions contained herein are for general information only and not tailored to any specific investor’s needs or investment goals.  Any opinions expressed in this newsletter are as of the date indicated.  Trading futures, options, and Forex involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

 

 

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